Three scenarios. 24 years of forecasts. Every primary substation across the North East, Yorkshire and northern Lincolnshire — modelled side by side so you can plan with confidence.
Northern Powergrid's potential future scenarios are aligned to the three net zero compliant pathways in NESO's transitional Regional Energy Strategic Plan (tRESP).
Colours adjust to the selected year for higher contrast within that year.
Together with ERM and our stakeholders we model three distinct pathways to 2050 reaching net zero by different routes. They align to NESO's tRESP pathways which provide the scale of low-carbon technologies expected in the short-term and long-term — tRESP common planning assumptions are used to model the future load impact from these low-carbon technologies.
Net zero met using a high renewable and moderate nuclear capacity pathway, through a mix of electrification and hydrogen. Strong consumer engagement; smart homes and EVs supply flexibility to the grid.
Net zero met using a high renewable and nuclear capacity pathway, mainly through electrified demand. Highly engaged consumers driving smart electric demand.
Net zero met using high levels of hydrogen dispatchable power plants, with reduced need for renewable and nuclear capacity, through fast progress for hydrogen in industry and heat. Some hydrogen is used for heavy goods vehicles and heat boilers, although most heat is electrified and electric vehicle uptake is strong.
“From Newcastle to Hull, every postcode in our patch shows up in this model. That’s how plans for 3.9 million customers get made.”
